NYC News Service

COVID-19: Risk Calculator

By Luca Powell and Baidi Wang
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A common refrain about pandemics is that they don't discriminate, and that they affect all of society evenly.

But the reality on the ground is much different. Data from hospitals chronicling the impact of the illness show that socioeconomic factors, sex, ethnicity, age, location and even blood-type all play a part. As you change those variables, so too do you change your chances of surviving Covid-19.

Play around with the interactive below for a look at how these different factors can alter your odds of faring well against Covid-19.

Are you male or female?*

Coronavirus outcome rates differ slightly, but significantly, between sexes.

*Data on transgender health outcomes related to COVID-19 is not yet available.

You chose . Based on your sex, you're fatality rate is: %

As the coronavirus sweeps all over the world, the data about the fatality rate of males and females shows that males are likely to be infected by the coronavirus than females. There are couple reasons to explain for that. One reason may be that males in the U.S. are less likely to seek out testing for the coronavirus when they feel sick. Also, the biological differences between males and females is another potential reason.

What country do you live in?

In :

There have been confirmed cases.

deaths.

And a % fatality rate.

Calculating a fatality rate is at best a crude science in an ongoing pandemic. The basic formula is to divide confirmed deaths by confirmed cases. But that formula is only as accurate as the reporting of both those variables. For more on fataliy rates, please see this interview with a professor of biostatistics.

What state do you live in?

In :

There have been confirmed cases.

And deaths so far.

A % fatality rate.

How old are you?

Output Death Rate: %

Being older leads to worse health outcomes with COVID-19, with a huge majority of deaths in age groups over 65.

Select an ethnicity.

% of coronavirus deaths in New York City have been in the community

Meanwhile, community also accounts for % of COVID-19 hospitalizations.

In New York City, COVID-19 has hit different ethnicities differently, with the highest death rates from the disease borne by the Black and Latino communities. Asian-American communities have notably been much less affected.

*Data on other ethnicities is unfortunately not yet available from the NYC Department of Health

Do you have any of these prexisting conditions?

Based off of your chosen pre-existing conditions, your fatality rate is: %

From the data showing that people with preexisting illnesses like hypertension and cancer are at higher risk of the coronavirus infection. Besides poor health conditions, experts also said those with diabetes have heightened levels of inflammation throughout their bodies, a factor which may lead to complications and worse outcomes.

Tell us your blood type, if you know it.

Based off of your blood type, your susceptibility rate to Covid-19 is: %

This study is based off preliminary data from January. Researchers in China found evidence to suggest that certain blood types have a higher susceptability to coronavirus. While much of what we still know about COVID-19 is in flux, the findings suggest that A and AB blood types are significantly less likely to come down with COVID-19.

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